Changing Method

Yup i have been away for a while and now a comeback.
I notice that my trading wasnt that good afterall. May b due to my lack of experience.
Now i have at least 6 months experience. Somehow i noticed that to be sucessful in stock market, you really need some insider tips and good forecast. Analysis also play part of it, financial, stock market sentiment, theme play. Between FA and TA i found that FA method is stronger than TA method. However i have concluded that by implementing both strategy is far better than just using either one method. Thanks to uncle Sam cause i have learned a lot from his blog how we should trade in a stock market. Below here is my newest strategy.

1) Analyze a stock that have a good fundamental (at least) a company with a good management and able to generate earning every quarter.
2) Interest. Buy stock that do have volume and interest. Unless you really can forecast that a company is the next billion money maker.
3) Identify speculative stock (volatile stock) even they are losing money the whole year. Then you can choose whether to buy or just ignore it.
4) After you picked the stock that you like, analyze volume and market sentiment regarding it. Know how to read a chart for market mood is an added bonus. Good forecast and holding power is needed.
5) Try to familiar and just stick to the favorite stock of yours, this way you'll know much better the stock performance, when it is cheap and when to take profit.

Iron age

The star

Check these counter. If it is as said PE stood at 7. Then it is a good investment.
Look at PMetal as i post to look out for it on 8/june @ 1.50 today it stood at 1.98 jo.
Said news is i did not make an entry.

Watch List @ 07/07/07

Group B
Mulpha @ 1.79 Wait for reversal signal.

YTLPower @ 2.32 a must for trading buy.
Wait for monday confirmation/reversal to make an entry.

POLYTWR

Exited POLYTWR @ 0.77 + 0.04

Property Boom

As my earlier forecast this month should prosper the earth element.
From my observation it always happen earlier likely 2 weeks before.
Take note of it.
Property sector made a boom. Should be in it.

Metal time

It is time to invest in metal, steel stocks.
Other than that are technology & engineering stocks.
Watch Mesdaq index

Property Market Bearish Signal forming

Although the property index is still uptrend but most property blue chip indicating bearish signal.
Take a look.

Entry List

POLYTWR @ 0.74
COCOLND @ 1.07
SKPRES @ 0.185

YNHProp

Made a wrong entry for YNHProp. Drop fast.

Right Timing

It is all about right timing. Dont you agree?
If you purchase any stock 1 year ago. Those stocks should be up right now.
If you had purchased any stocks 7 years ago those stock should be still under the buying price 7 years ago.
You might have purchased a stock @1.00 but once up 0.20 you decided to sell it but then it move up another Rm1.00. Heart broken.
So it is all about right timing to enter and right timing to exit.

KLSE new high

Walaueh...not bad .. still heading north...
Our market is pretty strong.
No selling pressure..
Great holding power..
The fund managers have confident with the market.
Are they waiting for the election rumors?
Think so. That is why they are holding.

Correction

Because the SSEC & DJ is correcting i think it is the time to take profit and run.
KLSE made a new high and it is time to rest.
Better still cause that the reason i chicken out the stock so i can buy cheap stock.
Better if China impose a second interest rate and the price drop so i can enter.

My entry signal formula was right

I will never never forgive myself because of being CHICKEN SHIT.
Look at my watch list on 15/6/07.
LMCEMNT@1.69
LIONIND@1.77
DRBHCOM@1.75

Wanna make entry for LMCEMNT@1.70 on 19/6/07 but chicken out
Today 20/6/07
LMCEMNT@1.80
Shoot up like rocket...
I will never forgive myself.

Breakout?

Waiting for bullish breakout. Will it happen?
Index hovering 1370.
Looking at the chart. It is going to break 1370.
Possible this Fri or next week.

YNHPROP

Make an entry @ 3.26 Let see how it will perform

Second Correction

I think i want to stay out for a while.
There might be a second correction which this time will correct more as SSEC will impose second interest rate.
Watch out.

Watch List 15/6/07

POLYTWR@0.72
LMCEMNT@1.69
LIONIND@1.77
DRBHCOM@1.75

Better wait for correction

IGB

Sold my IGB @ 2.78 +0.17

Not using Feng Shui on daily analysis

I was wrong with the daily anlaysis. It is hard to analyze daily using feng shui. And it is not just accurate enough. So i'll just use the seasons and yearly factor. I'll just use technical to indicate entry & exit.

Speculator

First time encounter. Finally i have encountered stocks that are being speculated. IGB & MAHSING are two of them. They gone up in few hours & gone.. The transaction done was high value. So be careful not to buy at high price.

MAHSING

oh...if you have monitor & take action to buy this stock on my recomendation you would have won @0.34. Shoot.. i am out of capital and dare not to play T3 too risky. If you are a risk taker then you are richer.

How much do you invest?

I was wondering how much do you invest? Rm5k, Rm10k?
Let me tell you.. if you have RM50k then better diversify it.
I don't think you'll make money by diversify RM20k.
Don't you think so?

Property Sector

I have to take back my words. Property sector is at it current high again. And I have scan through all the property stocks. None is cheap to buy or worth buying now cause it is all time high. If you plan for long term then it is ok. I think i'll shift my strategy to look at metal stocks, technology & mesdaq stocks.

IGB,MAHSING

IGB +0.08
MAHSING +0.06

Invest in property market, you'll never regret.
If you follow my previous post, then you'll know why. (About seasons)
There is still room for property stocks to go up until mid-end July.

KLCI

I have checked on the index again. Yes the KLCI is in stage 3 (uphill).
This indicate it can either go up or go down.
In order to go up it must break the 1370 resistance.
Will the foreign fund enter?
Will it be tomorrow is the day?
My analysis is telling me these 3 days is a good day. It is possible to happen with increase of volume. But who knows what will happen tomorrow.
Maybe the property stocks boosting the index?
If that happen then KLCI might be heading 1500.

IGB

I have made an entry for IGB @ 2.61 let see how it will perform.
Their project "The Gardens" will soon be completed by 2007/2008.
Good for 1yr long term investment as well.
http://www.igb.com.my

POLYTWR

Put this in your monitor list
I think it is consolidating (Stage 3)
It is either going up or going down.

Second liner & penny stock

If you take note of all the stocks in KLSE. I think you should notice that there isnt much GOOD penny stock left. The KLCI will sustain at 1350 support and i think it will reach its 1500 high by next year. I do not use fengshui truely as my tools but TA. What i feel is TA must be supported by good FA as well. I must combine both methods. Why? Let say you analyze a stock indicating buy signal but will it really reverse trend? I believe it is drive by it fundamental. A losing company has no volume or interest in it. So you still want that stock? Will it price go up? Best if you can make use of the two tools. Me combined with feng shui.

Stocks to look at on 18/Jun/07-22/Jun/07

18th: Mon
Still water day..Average.

19th: Tues
Average

20th:Wed
Average

21th:Thurs
Good day

22th:Fri
average good

IGB

Stage 4
Monitor
Entry at 2.60

MAHSING

Stage 4
monitor

ONASTEL

Flag shape?
Breakout..?
Look like volume will break this.

PMETAL

Stage 4
Monitor

TCHONG

Good Entry
already up 0.03
1.31

Drop

KLSE Drop but strong support at 1350.
Take note that 2liner stocks and penny, they are moving up arent they?
A water day come in month of fire represent market drop. remember that.

SSEC Rebound?

Nothing happen to KLSE ? No drop??
Such great holding power or no one dare buy at high price?
I was right about the market down...but in the morning only ..haha
the SSEC banyak umph...down to 3200 back up to 3700...
Good news is this week stock should be in good shape ...average uptrend.

Metal industry post problem??

hahaha...as expected...now you see the power of 8zi. As expected this month is not favoring metal and it will last till the conflict is over at least by 13 July. I have scheduled to make the entry by 1st July. Now to enter the market the best strategy is to use hit&run.

Put this to your note. Fire month best hit&run O&G stocks.

TRANSMIL

Transmil is a good buy at the current price. I believe it will climb back to RM10.
You cant use technical d but FA.
1) Dude, it is owned by Robert Kuok.
2) Be real...who dun ever cheat or falsified things??? You think all businessman is that honest ar?
The only thing now is how clever he turn things around. Money can solve problem 1.
3) Influential.. With help of his rich friend & foreign fund. You dun think it wont rock. Rich people more rich.
4) Aiyo .. it is entering metal period...luck is with him...

Unless something tragic happen?....

Red Eyes Greed

Stock can really drive someone greed. I was one of them. Looking at the stocks going up day after day. Of course for good stock is going up.Bad pick stock going down. Envy ... envy... My eyes becoming red seeing people making profit n why cant I.. having this greed emotion will certainly cloud my rational mind thus I ll jump right in buying stock at high price. Dont care a damn FA or TA. The next day, numbers becoming redddd....down down down... making me putting a stop loss order....I believe I am not alone. I learned my lesson few years ago and not to make the same mistake. My advice is be DICIPLINE and DO NOT GREED. I'll stick this everywhere reminding me..

SAAG

Is foreign fund rocking this stock?
Making 100% raise??

China correction no impact on KLSE

SSEC drop 600 (+-14%) from 4300 but others making new high record??
What is going on??
Is KLSE fundamental is THAT Good??
As for my analysis the bad day to come is tomorrow. Watch carefully.

More market is dropping in the afternoon. There will be another correction tomorrow??

Stocks to look at on 11/Jun/07-15/Jun/07

11th: Mon
Not a very good day for O&G stock, might slide more.
Water stock up

12th: Tues
Good day for O&G & property stock
stock up

13th:Wed
Good day for O&G & property stock
stock up

14th:Thurs
Good day for O&G & property stock
stock up but diminishing

15th:Fri
Possible stock down.
O&G might be good candidate
Metal stock might go down.

Stocks to look at on 4/Jun/07-8/Jun/07

4th Monday Focus Property sector.
Still a move for IOIProp, RCECAP.
O&G will still have the strength but less.

5th:Tuesday
Stay out, stock price going down.

6th:Wed
Average

7th:Thurs
Average (Water stock raise)
O&G price might slide

8th:Fri
Average
O&G price might slide

O&G Making High

I am just doing a basic & simple analysis base on this 6 pillars without the hour just to explain a few about the market. 1/Jun/07 is a day of yang fire, where the fire is prosperous in the month of si. Thus the day is strong fire. More, the day was supported by wood. the present of water actually nourishing the wood and can do no harm to fire as the fire is very strong. This explain why the fire related stock have the umphh to go up.

Let take this theory to predict other day stock.

Metal

Clock 1st July to make an entry.

MASTEEL

MASTEEL(A)
Technically Masteel is not performing. Volume being low and it is breaking all my SMA. Bear.

SAAG

I just found out that SAAG was a oil&gas related company.
And it is rocked sky high in this summer....till end of June?

PMETAL,BKOON,KWANTAS

Take note that PMETAL, BKOON & KWANTAS reported good earning but why only KWANTAS share price is up and not PMETAL & BKOON. Bacause the season is summer and it favor fire/energy stock and metal is the weakest. PMETAL & BKOON are metal stocks. Do not fear as it is dropping, it is a good buy/entry esp early July.

Stock Groups

I'll group my stock pick into 3 groups

Group A <= 1.50
Group B > 1.50 AND <=5.00
Group C >5.00

Oil & Gas

17 May - 12 August 07 is summer season
15 June - 13 July 07 is the hottest
14 July - 12 Aug 07 heat fading

These season related to fire industry (finance, oil&gas, restaurant, food, airline, petroleum)
Althou this year 07 is benefiting the earth & metal elements but during these months metal is the weakest. Fire industry will take advantage. Metal stocks will have some draw down.

KNM (metal/fire) +0.2
KWANTAS(fire) +0.2
BORNOIL(fire) +0.165
PETDAG(fire) +0.15
PETGAS(fire) + 0.15
MAS(fire) +0.25
GLEALY(fire/wood) + 0.14

will these stocks rock till early July? Lookup for BORNOIL. Good for short trading.

Metal is the weekest.
METROD -0.16
KINSTEL -0.15
BKOON -0.12
mark to enter in Early July

No Volume?

What happen to the volume? Everyone still waiting for the correction? Argg..
I believe most of the traders are locking the profit. I am not going to jump in now for any stocks.
I ll just wait till the stocks get cheaper and jumbo sales on Aug 07.
I cant afford for stock priced above RM3.00 Too expensive for me to buy.
Target Mesdaq counters.

Metal stock

I am listing out possible good metal stock and start analyzing it with TA & FA (still not good at)
If you think of any please comment it.

Currently my list to look at:
ASIAEP
FTEC
NEXTNAT
EBWORX
IRIS
ENGTEK

BKOON
PMETAL
YECHIU
PA

LSTEEL
AJSTEEL
MASTEEL
ONASTEL
KINSTEL

By just depending on the element associate to it business type is not enough. In order for the price to go up volume & a stock that is underprice must present.

Stay Away in Jun/July ?

Take note that in feng shui it is recomended to stay away from stock market in July & August. The stock market is cooling down during the period and you should accumulate after that and lock your profit before that.

Sam the FA

I came across this guy who i am interested to analyze with, Sam....not because i am gay but his skills using FA in stock picking. Unrealize his stock picking does match the feng shui criteria where the season of that element is the most prosperous. I do not know if he believe in feng shui but i'll just put a few points here why i say so.

I notice in his blog where he stated how he pick a stock (I couldnt locate it back)... He said take notice of things happening around you..(where he recommended steel business that will post good result) Which is the same concept for feng shui where you have to look for poison arrow and things/qi around you! I have stated in my previos post Year 2007 and Year 2008 that during these years the favorable element was metal. Yes steel is metal and it will last till end 2008. So his stock picking was actually supported by feng shui analysis. Coincidence??

As i stated as well for Year 2007, 1st & 2nd Quarter will benefit Earth element which is property sector, I think it will reach to it max and you should lock your profit before August 07 (you'll have to use TA then) and start investment related with metal. I also stated that fire industry(oil&gas) will not be doing good. His picking on Ranhill, is it an oil&gas (fire) business? Why is it shoot up? Ranhill was not purely oil&gas but providing service & engineering to oil&gas industry which is mixed elements..metal/fire stock. May is the season where fire is heating up ..summer... Read the newspaper..all news related with oil&gas & engeneering poping up everywhere. this implies that sam has entered at the right time again. maybe he will dump that counter by Aug???

What i can say is he may b destined to rock the stock market with his luck pillar to make a fortune, the luck is with him.

Seasons In a Year

Here is a quick compilation of season in a year

Spring/Wood 04 Feb-05 May
Summer/Fire 06 May-06 Aug
Autumn/Metal 07 Aug-08 Nov
Winter/Water 09 Nov-03 Feb

Industries that are related with the element will prosper during the stated season

Wood: textile, furniture, rubber,fashion, publication
Fire: Finance, Restaurant, Gas&Oil, Energy, Electricity,
Metal: Engineering, Technology, Computer, Health,Insurance
Water: Drinking water, Shipping
Earth: Property, Construction, Mining, Hotel

Note:
Earth prosper during every end of season 06 Apr - 05 May, 07 July - 06 Aug.....
This explain why all rich tycoons come from property developer and construction. They prosper throughout the year esp 07 July -06 Aug.
Some business require mixed elements eg: engineering related to gas& oil (metal/fire)

Year 2008

What 2008 have instore for us?
Year 2008 is a year of Water(+) Rat with Earth(+) as the heavenly stem.

Water is symbol of wealth for Earth => EARTH sector will have wealth luck ie: property, hotel, mining. This year water is yang(+) ..more wealth??? bad thing is the heavenly stem is Earth(+) which also means competitor in earth industry which will struggle in price competition. So we get much cheaper property but still they profit?

Water is symbol of productivity for Metal => METAL sector will have more productivity ie: engineering, health, insurance, machinery,computer. Also with Earth present this means metal will have support. Someone will backup metal industry? Metal sector is definately the stock pick of the year. ASIAEP,AJSTEEL?

Earth is symbol of productivity for Fire => ie: oil & gas, restaurant, finance, energy.
Also Earth is symbol of wealth for Wood
Thus Fire & Wood sector having moderate luck.

Water sector will face competition. Not so good.

Having to know this, one should look for investment in company related to metal for year 2008 industry. To buy at low price start buying in Oct 07

The period:
1st quater & 2nd quarter: metal stock will slide (can be a good entry point)
3rd & 4th quarter: metal stock should rise as these 2 periods favor metal sector

So for FA traders let just invest for metal stock starting Oct 07 to end 08

With these shouldn't we predict the Year 2009 ? Nay....I'll just leave it next time.

Year 2007

Year 2007 is a year of Water Pig with Fire as heavenly stem.

Water is symbol of wealth for Earth => EARTH sector will have more profit ie: property, hotel, mining.

Water is symbol of productivity for Metal => METAL sector will have more productivity ie: engineering, health, insurance, machinery.

Water & Fire sector is not so good. ie: oil & gas, restaurant, finance, energy

Wood sector having moderate luck.

Having to know this 1 should look for investment in company related to metal & property industry

The period:
1st quater & 2nd quarter: earth stock/property should rise as these 2 periods favor property sector
3rd & 4th quarter: metal stock/(refer above) should rise as these 2 periods favor metal
sector

So for FA traders let just invest for 1 year for long term ok?

With these shouldn't we predict the Year 2008 ?

Basic Intro of Feng Shui with KLSE

Who don't know about Feng Shui ? Please use Google and search for Feng Shui Basic.
Feng Shui does involve calculation complexity and deep study of metaphysic understanding.
I am just an amateur who has strong interest in Feng Shui and stock market. I am not a professional Feng Shui consultant. I am just blogging for fun and please use the analysis here just for reference.

So how do I analyze? Basicly I use TA for all my stock but 1 should not neglect FA as well. With FA you can at least predict a price jump where sometime TA could not give. You have to analyze the volume to get to know the fishy stock.

How do I limit the stock search? Using Feng Shui. Feng shui and FA can give a good combination of stock pick, time to go in and time to go out. One couldnt go wrong with all these 3 in mind. Knowledge is Power. However the Feng Shui drawback is it cannot tell you which is the speculative stock. At least 40% is drive by human and the volume indicator. Still you can pick a good stock.

All these are just my research and would like to share with those who are interested. Read my blog.

Types of Stock Analysis

So what analysis is available nowadays to predict the stock market trend? Most people will say:

1. Fundamental Analysis
2. Technical Analysis

They have neglected an ancient Chinese art of prediction:

Feng shui Analysis/Astrology Analysis

This should be the third method to give another view to support the current stock market trend.
Sound funny har...Me too... but anyway hope these analysis will give some great help to investors and traders.